The Health Foundation has issued a stark warning: by 2040, an additional 700,000 working-age adults in the UK are projected to suffer from major illnesses, raising the total to 3.7 million. This alarming prediction surpasses 2019’s figures by a significant margin and comes as a crucial wake-up call
CREDIT: This is an edited version of an article that originally appeared on National Health Executive
This distressing forecast stems from ongoing research by the Health Foundation’s REAL Centre and the University of Liverpool. Their investigations indicate a potential surge in major illnesses to 9.3 million by 2040, marking an increase of 2.6 million from 2019. The latest findings further reveal that 540,000 of the anticipated increase will predominantly affect England’s most deprived regions, potentially deepening existing health disparities.
Impact and causes
The primary contributors to this health crisis include chronic conditions such as chronic pain, type 2 diabetes, and mental health issues like anxiety and depression. These conditions are escalating more rapidly in less affluent areas and are mostly managed in primary care settings, underscoring the urgent need for enhanced primary care resources and a shift towards preventative measures.
Voices from the field
Ann Raymond, an economist at the Health Foundation’s REAL Centre, emphasises the gravity of the situation. “Residents of more deprived areas not only face major illnesses earlier but also spend longer living in poor health and have a shorter life expectancy compared to those in wealthier regions,” she explains. The disparities are stark, with those in deprived communities developing severe health issues up to a decade earlier than those in affluent areas, and they are three times more likely to die by the age of 70.
Beyond healthcare
While reinforcing the NHS with necessary investments remains pivotal, broader actions are imperative. The Health Foundation advocates for robust public health policies addressing lifestyle factors such as smoking, diet, and exercise. However, a comprehensive, cross-government strategy targeting the fundamental causes of poor health—like inadequate housing, low income, and substandard job conditions—is essential for long-term improvement.
The responsibility also extends to employers who are urged to enhance working conditions. Additionally, increased funding for local councils and voluntary organisations is crucial to support community health efforts.
Backing from NHS providers
The urgency of these findings is echoed by NHS Providers. Deputy Chief Executive Saffron Cordery acknowledges the challenges, pointing to the detrimental effects of previous cuts in public health and prevention services. “Reinforcing public health funding is not just necessary; it’s crucial for fostering a healthier population moving forward. Prevention will always be better than cure,” she states.
As the Health Foundation calls for action, the focus is clear: it’s time for a cohesive and sustained effort from all sectors to tackle this impending health crisis head-on.
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