NHS England’s General Practice Forward View is falling short in its pledge to build the GP workforce by 5,000 more full-time equivalent family doctors by 2020, the Royal College of GPs has concluded.
The College’s Annual Assessment of the plan, that was launched in April 2016, recognises that NHS England is making progress in delivering many of its approximately 100 pledges – and that the commitment to spend an additional £2.4bn each year on general practice by 2020/21 is on track.
But the College’s analysis, based on the most up to date statistical and member feedback, raises concerns that the GP Forward View is not having the positive impact on frontline general practice and patient care to the extent and with the speed that is needed.
Today’s report follows an interim assessment by the College, published in January, that found whilst progress is being made, national ambition was not being matched by local delivery and many GPs had yet to see significant change.
The College is now calling for a ‘re-think’ on aspects the GP Forward View in order to turn things around – specifically around workforce pledges, but also on other key issues for GPs, such as spiralling costs of indemnity.
The GP Forward View pledged 5,000 more full-time equivalent GPs in England by 2020 but latest figures from NHS Digital show that actual numbers have gone down since September last year.
Research* conducted for the College by Ipsos MORI among RCGP members, published for the first time in this report, shows that 39% of GPs say they are unlikely to be working in the profession in England in five years, sparking fears that unless progress in delivering the GP Forward View is accelerated, the profession could reach breaking point.
The report acknowledges that those entering GP specialty training are actually set to be higher this year than last, with 2,927 foundation doctors already signed up following recruitment Round 2 in 2016, according to figures from Health Education England – so the College is optimistic that the target of 3,250 can be met in 2017. But the RCGP says more must be done to retain existing GPs in the profession.
It also praises efforts to increase staff numbers in the wider practice team as being largely successful with 2,896 full-time equivalent practice staff entering the profession between Sept 2015-Sept 2016. Particularly successful has been the scheme to place pharmacists in GP surgeries, that began as a joint venture between the RCGP and Royal Pharmaceutical Society in 2015.
Professor Helen Stokes-Lampard, Chair of the RCGP, said: “It takes at least three years in specialty training for new doctors to enter the workforce as independent consultant GPs so whilst it’s fantastic that more foundation doctors are choosing general practice this year, if more people are leaving the profession than entering it, we’re fighting a losing battle.
“Above all else we need to see efforts stepped up to keep hard working, experienced GPs in the profession, and the best way to do this is to tackle workload pressures and improve the conditions under which all GPs and our teams are working.
“The College stands by the GP Forward View – we continue to think that it is the lifeline general practice needs to get our profession where it needs to be. But things are moving too slowly. Our endorsement of the original report means we can hold NHS England, Health Education England, and other bodies to account, and that’s what we’re doing with today’s report.”
The College has also received assurances from NHS England that proper funding allocations have been made for general practice this year, meaning that recurrent investment is on track to be increased by £2.4bn a year by 2020/21.
Professor Stokes-Lampard continued: “We know we’re only one year into a five-year plan, but GPs are desperate – they really, truly want to deliver the best possible care for patients, but the pressures they are under are unbearable. Our members were promised impactful change by now, but unfortunately many are telling us that the difference they are seeing on the ground is not enough and they are feeling let down.
“There has been a lot of good work going on – and it’s great to hear that additional funding for our service is on track. We are certainly not suggesting that NHS England, Health Education England and others have been resting on their laurels – we know they are committed to making things better in general practice.
“But it is clear that there is a lot more to do, specifically around building our workforce. We need the GP Forward View delivered in full and in time, and if that involves a re-think of some strategies, then so be it – it’s necessary and in the best interests of GPs, the wider NHS and our patients.”